An Amazon Gift Enclosed
Hi everyone and welcome to the Yellow Tunnel community, a family of trading services dedicated to all classes of traders seeking to elevate their trading skills, market awareness, and trading profits.
This past week, the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes were released and markets began assessing how the Fed will move next. On Thursday, markets in the U.S. were closed in observance of the Thanksgiving holiday which is then followed up by Black Friday. Major sales and the official start of the holiday shopping season are upon us. While I am used to spending this time getting gifts for my children, loved ones, and family, I did not expect to receive a gift for myself - and one from a subscriber!
A very unique and thoughtful gift arrived at my door (your Amazon gift is below…keep reading) and reminded me of not only why I do this but also the kind of happiness YellowTunnel provides me. By being able to reach thousands of traders and hopefully assist them in their trading journeys, I get to do what I love and make an impact on the world in a positive way. And this gift symbolized just that.
Several weeks ago, I wrote about the latest book discussed in my book club. The story of Endurance and the voyage to the Arctic, for me, highlighted several constructive lessons that not only polar explorers can benefit from but traders as well! When discussing the book I aimed to reach readers of Power Trading and Markets in a positive light and while I assume there is some merit to my work, this thoughtful gift was a physical representation of that. I was washed over with gratitude.
The above package of "Polar Granola" referencing Shackleton's journey arrived at my door this week and really made my day. When people ask me why I, as a successful trader, need to have and spend additional time on YellowTunnel.com, this is exactly it. Trading for personal gain provides a certain type of happiness; reaching others in a positive way is a whole different type of happiness.
A common and widely accepted breakdown of the levels of happiness goes as follows:
- Basic happiness derived from family and friends
- A higher level of happiness is represented in "how many people can you impact in a positive way"
- An even higher level of happiness from changing the world in a positive way
While there is a fourth level of happiness derived from spirituality, I'd like to focus on these three as the fourth may be a bit more personal and specific to the individual.
At home, during Thanksgiving, for example, I get to see my family for a joy-filled day spent together and that is a wonderful example of the first level of happiness.
At YellowTunnel, I aim to reach out to subscribers and enrich their lives by assisting in their trading via A.I. models, psychology-focused webinars, as well as research and trade idea tools. I try to make myself as available as possible to help out as many as possible: weekly webinars, daily trading rooms, newsletters, and a comprehensive support team ready to assist in a multitude of ways.
The third level of happiness traditionally is found in some of the giants that paved our everyday life today: Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, and Elon Musk just to name a few. And while I do not have the hubris to say I am on their level, I do fully intend on reaching for that third level of happiness and changing the world in a positive way.
Getting the cereal after someone attended one of my webinars and read my blog has made a long-lasting feeling of happiness and satisfaction. The modern world is programmed towards instant satisfaction. Amazon Prime offers same-day delivery. TikTok provides immediate, rolling content at about 10 seconds a clip. Heck, even movies that premiere in theaters are now available on demand to purchase at home the same day as their major release. We live in a consumer-driven world aimed at quick fixes and the type of lasting joy described above gets sidelined.
At YellowTunnel, I am to provide a more substantial level of happiness, content, and joy not only to myself but my subscribers and anyone I could reach. And hopefully, one day reach enough people to change the world!
One lesson I'd like to impart right now is that to be a good trader, ironically, you have to have humility and gratitude. An exercise I take part in and encourage readers to do as well is keeping a journal. Spend the next three months writing in this journal, each day adding 10 things you are grateful for. Do this before the market opens, and if I can make another bold statement- I strongly believe this will improve your trading.
These are some of the non-trading ideas we focus on at YellowTunnel that offer our subscribers an opportunity to become more balanced, diverse, and complete traders. As well as the trading-focused tools and ideas we supplement via the YellowTunnel.com platform and during our weekly webinars.
That is precisely why I recommend being part of our YellowTunnel trading community, where you can discuss and dissect multiple trading strategies with others. This is exactly what we did in my latest Strategy Roundtable, which we hold weekly on YellowTunnel. I recommend checking out our latest Roundtable webinar in its entirety below:
How To Trade a Bear Market Strategy Roundtable
With the unpredictable nature of the market and the uncertainty ahead of us, I can’t emphasize enough how vital it is for our readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a close tie of how our I and my AI platform is navigating us in and out of select trades. It’s FREE and I highly encourage everyone to sign up to the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day.
Every Monday and Wednesday, I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It’s the future of bringing together a trading community’s total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations, and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to:
I also want to emphasize to traders how vital a stop-loss discipline is to winning and being successful in an unforgiving market. We employ specific stop-loss instructions with every trade. The buy and sell programs controlled by high-frequency related algorithms can create great profits or cause sudden losses, so it is imperative to maintain an element of controlling risk with each trade.
NEW EARNINGS POWER TRADER SERVICE
I recently launched our new Earnings Power Trader service, which I am very excited about. Each week, our expert traders use our AI Tools to provide the Top Bullish and Bearish Stocks, each with an Entry Price, Target Profit, and Stop Loss.
This new service is special because it offers real-time alerts via SMS and access to Vlad's live positions and orders. When I put together this system, I wanted to be in the fight with other investors. That’s why I don’t play on your emotions to sell newsletters - I put my money where my mouth is.
Every trade recommendation that I make using this system – comes straight from the list of trade recommendations I use myself.
Not only that but every trade I make is logged in detail for you to review at any time. You can see my entire trading history, updated LIVE so that you can see, learn from, and even copy my trading strategy. Click here to learn more.
Signals have historically averaged over 85% accuracy in my live trading since inception. Sometimes I hold positions for 2-5 days by using options (selling OTM Calls and Puts spread) and targeting 1% target gain and 1% stop loss using stock price. The green color should be interpreted as a bullish signal and the red as a bearish signal.
How To Use Our Signals
Once you become a member, I encourage you to review our Live Trading Room recordings to see how I trade Earnings Power Trader signals in my account. A snapshot of how we produce our Live Trading Room Sessions shows how we pack in a lot of information that can be accessed from whatever device you’re driving.
As a reminder, consider buying near the "BUY" level with a "10 days prediction" higher than the close price. In our live trading room, I usually hold a position for 1-2 days.
I allocate less than 5% of my portfolio if the position is being held overnight. On average, less than 1% of the portfolio should be at risk if you own a position for less than one day.
I entered a position at the predicted LOW (BUY) price or yesterday's close price. My stop loss is 1%, and my target gain is 1% of the stock price. I target 75% accuracy using these signals.
A few subscribers asked about Options trading using the signals provided. Please review live trading room recordings. I often sell OTM credit put spread using weekly options and collect 0.5% using stock price. For example, if the stock is trading at $100, I would sell an OTM Put (strike less than 100) with an option BID price close to $0.5.
CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE
As of Friday, the 5-day chart shows the $SPY was trading over 1% higher, near $402. The S&P 500 was trading higher on Friday, along with the Dow while the Nasdaq turned red. The volatility index has trended lower during the week, now trading near $21.
This week's primary economic release was the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes which were released on Wednesday. A handful of earnings ($DE, $ADI, and $JWN) were also released this week, while Thursday markets were closed in observance of the Thanksgiving holiday.
On Tuesday, the stock market had a successful day, with all three major U.S. indices moving higher off the hope the Federal Reserve will lower the rate at which it is raising interest rates. When the minutes were released on Wednesday, U.S. shares initially gained; however, they began to lower soon after.
At the Federal Reserve meeting, officials noted that a recession may occur soon and smaller interest rate increases will be taking place in the near future according to the minutes. Senior officials at the Fed still forecasted interest rates to rise higher than what was originally predicted but also said they are unsure of how much further it will go. The Fed plans to take a more cautious approach by raising rates at a slower pace so that they can monitor the economy's reactions during this possible recession.
This is the first time that Fed officials have acknowledged that a recession might happen in the next year. Since the economy was hit by inflation concerns post-shutdowns, the Fed has been raising rates to try and slow down the economy and prevent inflation. Now it looks like they are ready to start scaling back.
In addition, on Wednesday, the final key economic report for this month was published, which revealed a 1% increase in durable-goods orders. Also, jobless benefit claims rose to 240,000 in the most recent week–the highest level since August. S&P Global announced that the flash U.S. services purchasing managers index in November fell to 46.1 from its previous score of 47.8 and that the S&P Global flash U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index also fell in November, this time to 47.6 from 50.7. This latest data traditionally signals a contracting economy.
With the current market rally continuing it is likely that several sectors and symbols could benefit from the current market landscape and upcoming market-supportive events. The annual Christmas rally is likely to come in the next few weeks and should lead us into the next earnings season where we will see if a bear market resumes or is held off a bit longer.
If so, there is one specific symbol I will be moving on in the coming days to profit from as we wrap up 2022. Before discussing that, let's break down the current market conditions a little further.
Overhead resistance levels for the SPY are presently at $400 and then $416 and I am monitoring the $SPY support is at $390 and then $380. Based on current market conditions, I predict that the rally will continue for at least the next 4-8 weeks. The short-term market is trading in the well-defined range. I would be market neutral at this time and encourage readers to not chase the market to the downside or upside.
Additionally, several factors are out there to be watched as well. The latest announcement from the G7 regarding Russia's "oil cap" could spark volatility if it becomes effective on December 6th. Likewise, geopolitical news will remain a major influencer in the global marketplace. Turkey, for example, recently closed the Bosphorus Strait to all Russian oil ships.
Also, in December, another Fed meeting is scheduled. This will come around the time of the Christmas rally where we should also see a lot of tax harvesting and "window dressing" for institutional traders, improving portfolio outlooks, and positioning themselves for tax season.
With these positive components likely to support rallies through the end of the year, I will be investing in one particular sector and specifically one symbol which I hope to be another joyous gift for the holidays.
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SECTOR SPOTLIGHT
As 2022 heads into its final month, it has become clear the market rally will likely stay through the year. The Fed should raise rates again this year but by how much is yet to be known. If the current sentiment holds, we are looking at an interest rate hike in December alongside a holiday rally and additional inflation data. Long-term yields remain at high levels but pulled back from their peaks while several sectors become overcrowded and highly traded. This brings one specific sector to my attention.
The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) is one of the most widely used consumer ETFs, and it has amassed more than $15 million in assets. This fund covers industries such as retail, auto, and consumer services, which is why it's one of my personal favorites in this field.
To start the week, XLY sold off only to return to the green by the week's end, along with the rest of the market. XLY is trading near $142, much closer to its 52-week low of $131 than the 52-week high of $211. This gives this symbol plenty of room for the upside and if the market rally remains should be a fruitful time for XLY. See XLY Seasonal Chart below:
Based on my analysis of the XLY seasonal chart, it looks like there is an early and steady signal for positive trading! The latest model shows a "higher" forecasted price for the symbol in the next 20, 30, 40, and 50-day periods. The annual seasonal line is situated significantly above the current price line, telegraphing a great opportunity in the coming weeks.
The XLY's 10-day forecast, seen below, is indicating several positive signals according to the Stock Forecast Toolbox. First of all, the symbol flips its negative vector score to a positive one towards the end of next week. A key indicator in trends going forward, when reviewing the vector score, we look for positive, steady trends in one direction. Secondly, the "B" model grade indicates a top 25% accuracy for the symbol within our data universe. With XLY currently trading near its projected high, the symbol could easily flip to a much more confident and longer vector trend within the next few days.
The retail and consumer discretionary sector have the potential to trade higher, so if that happens, I want to be prepared with a symbol that will benefit from XLY's increase. After reviewing current market trends and forecasts from my A.I., I believe I have found the perfect match.
TRADE OF THE WEEK (Here’s Your Amazon Gift)
One of the biggest components of not only the consumer sector but also our everyday lives is Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN). The tech company which offers e-commerce, cloud computing, streaming, and advertising services is currently trading near $93. With a market cap of over $950 billion, Amazon is one of the biggest companies in the world - currently trading far below its 1-year target estimate and much closer to its 52-week low.
Amazon's 52-week sits at $85.87-$181.68. With almost 100 points to the upside, this symbol is offering us a unique position to buy an all-time name at an all-time price.
With earnings mostly returning positive, several surprising reports regarding inflation, and what appears to be a good upcoming month for shares, the market is set up to maintain its recent rally through 2022. This makes Amazon's recent low a great spot to get in on the household name. With yields moderately lowering and the dollar also retreating, tech and consumer discretionary in particular should benefit.
Let's consult the data from the A.I. before coming to a final decision.
Looking at the Seasonal Chart of AMZN, seen above, the symbol is flashing a very impressive probability to go higher in the next 20, 30, and 40-day time ranges. With the current gap between the seasonal level and the current level widening in the last few weeks, AMZN has the space to offer profits at its current price.
The Stock Forecast Toolbox predicts that AMZN will experience a positive trend in the next 10 days, with strong and consistent gains. Model Grade "B" provides me confidence with the A.I. forecast and the strong vector trend displayed in its predicted data offers me a strong trend to buy in on. The symbol is also flashing strong daily trends and a range trend towards the upside. All of this gives me confidence in Amazon going forward!
This week, I’ll be adding $GM to my portfolio.
Discovering this trade is precisely where AI technology comes in handy. We connect our Live Trading Room to YellowTunnel in an effort to assist you in managing the current inflationary trend. We keep our positions updated on a regular basis and our AI system seamlessly integrates with our platform to give our customers the most comprehensive trading experience available today.
The beauty of our AI-driven system is that we are always equipped to bring new trade ideas to our members. Trades in best-of-breed stocks and ETFs that are not yet recognized by the larger universe of traders.
And our track record speaks for itself from the standpoint of a Winning Trades Percentage, Average Return Per Trade, and Net Gain.
The consistent performance of our services is just incredible. My historical stellar performance is made possible by being right on 85.07% of all trades that I made, with an average profit of 37% per trade on our collective trade recommendations. To my knowledge, this trading performance is one-of-a-kind that stands alone in the marketplace for superior trading advice where our numbers and results speak for themselves.
Traders looking for a more timely approach to trade should join the YellowTunnel community, where nearly 85% of trades were profitable, and utilize one of our AI trading platforms for no-excuses Trading. Our AI platform breaks down and analyzes hundreds of proprietary performance indicators to help you get the edge on your portfolio!
Go to our website at www.yellowtunnel.com and make one of our services your default trading system where the AI that powers my all-world, the proprietary platform, can help you make the last quarter the best of the 2022 trading portfolio.
Have a fantastic week, keep Ukraine in your thoughts and prayers, and let's make some great money together.
One more thing, I've had the opportunity to take additional action with a great organization supporting families in Ukraine directly. Gate.org is a foundation where fundraising is held for specific families, allocating funds to multiple families currently living in Ukraine. I am on the board of directors for this great initiative and encourage everyone to check it out and donate if possible. The war in Ukraine is escalating and families are being negatively impacted and displaced daily. To learn more about this initiative to help families, please see the link below: