Investment Opportunity: Buy Micron($MU) Stock Today
The Game-Changer: Chess Quads Tournaments
As a parent, I've spent countless hours watching my son David compete in chess tournaments. The traditional format, where each round lasts an hour, often meant we'd be stuck at the venue for five hours or more. But times have changed, and so have the formats. Enter chess quads tournaments, a game-changer that's revolutionized the way we experience competitive chess.
What are Chess Quads Tournaments?
In a quads tournament, players are grouped into sections of four, typically broken down by rating to ensure a level playing field. Each player plays the other three in their section, and as soon as one group finishes, the next one begins. This format allows for a much more efficient use of time, condensing what would normally take five hours into just one hour.
Efficiency at Its Finest
The beauty of quads tournaments lies in their streamlined design. Gone are the days of waiting around for hours, watching the same few games repeat themselves. With quads, the action is non-stop, and players can focus on their games without unnecessary downtime. This format is particularly beneficial for kids, who can maintain their attention and enthusiasm throughout the tournament.
Drawing Parallels to AI Efficiency
The efficiency of quads tournaments reminds me of advancements in artificial intelligence. Just as AI systems are designed to optimize processes and eliminate unnecessary steps, quads tournaments apply a similar logic to chess competitions. By minimizing downtime and maximizing playing time, quads tournaments make the most of the allotted time, ensuring a more enjoyable experience for players and spectators alike.
A New Era for Chess Tournaments
The quads format may not have been around when I grew up, but its impact on the chess community is undeniable. It's a testament to the evolving nature of the game and our ability to adapt and innovate. As a parent, I'm grateful for the opportunity to spend quality time with David, watching him compete in a more efficient and engaging way.
Chess quads tournaments are a breath of fresh air in the world of competitive chess. By embracing this format, we're not only saving time but also creating a more dynamic and enjoyable experience for players of all ages. As we continue to innovate and improve, it's exciting to think about what the future holds for chess tournaments.
Review of Recent Trade
Last week, our DPT Services model identified Apple Inc. (AAPL) as a long opportunity during last Tuesday’s Live Trading Room session, and the trade unfolded in line with the signal. The setup combined a clean momentum turn with favorable risk/reward, and timely execution made the difference—entries were taken as the model confirmed strength rather than after the move was already priced in.
Price action validated the alert as AAPL pushed higher from our entry zone, allowing us to scale risk appropriately and manage the position according to predefined targets and stops. Even as intraday volatility picked up, sticking to the playbook—enter on confirmation, trim into strength, and honor risk levels—kept the trade on track and preserved gains.
This is also where the advantage of our paid service comes in. Subscribers receive real-time SMS alerts with precise entry and exit guidance, so opportunities like AAPL aren’t missed in the moment and exits aren’t left to guesswork. You can revisit the trade and our step-by-step walkthrough in last Tuesday’s recording here: Live Trading Room Recordings!
Current Trading Landscape
Markets spent the week grinding back toward all-time highs with the VIX pinned near 15, a combination that usually signals optimism—with a caveat. The melt-up tone was powered by growing conviction that the Federal Reserve has begun an easing cycle, a string of “good enough” inflation prints, and persistent leadership from tech and AI—while under the surface, labor softening, tariff headlines, and mixed corporate results kept breadth narrow and rates jumpy.
The policy backdrop did most of the heavy lifting. Into the September 17–18 FOMC, futures priced a near-certain 25 bp cut to kick off a measured easing path. Chair Powell framed the move as risk management rather than a pivot back to zero, stressing data dependence as inflation remains a shade above target. That message, alongside commentary from officials noting a cooling labor market, pushed investors to debate “how much” rather than “if” the Fed will cut through early 2026. Equities liked it; duration drifted as 10-year yields oscillated in the 3.6%–4.8% range, finishing the week a touch higher as traders faded hopes for aggressive near-term cuts.
Macro data mostly cooperated. CPI came in firm on the month but broadly in line year-over-year, Core moderated at the margin, and PPI eased—enough to quiet rekindled inflation fears. The offset was labor: downward revisions of roughly 900k jobs over the prior year plus softer recent prints underscored a cooling employment backdrop. That mix—tamer prices, softer jobs—was “Goldilocks” for equities on the day, but it also explains why the Fed is moving gingerly rather than racing.
Earnings and micro catalysts kept AI in the driver’s seat. Nvidia (NVDA) remains the market’s barometer heading into its print, with AI infrastructure spend supporting peers and suppliers. This week also brings bellwethers FedEx (FDX) and Lennar (LEN), offering a clean read on goods demand, pricing power, housing resilience, and margin discipline. Positive surprises there would broaden the narrative beyond mega-cap tech; misses would reinforce the idea that leadership remains concentrated.
Tariffs and geopolitics continued to flick at sentiment without breaking it. Headlines around U.S.–China talks—and the prospect of a TikTok resolution—helped intraday risk appetite, even as longer-dated inflation expectations nudged up on tariff chatter. Energy lagged despite only modest moves in crude, while communication services and tech did the heavy lifting. Breadth told the truth: indexes at or near records even as many constituents churned or slipped, a classic hallmark of a late-stage advance dominated by a handful of leaders.
Rates and volatility painted the same picture. With the VIX near 15 and credit spreads stable, markets are priced for an orderly deceleration in growth and inflation. Yet the Treasury curve’s sensitivity to every macro headline reminds us that a reacceleration in prices or a sharper labor slowdown could quickly reprice the path of cuts—and risk assets with it.
Our base case remains market-neutral in the short run: a sideways tape with sharp rotations as data lands and as NVDA/FDX/LEN guide the earnings narrative. For SPY, we see upside potential toward 670–680 if AI leadership persists and data stay “good enough,” with short-term support in the 600–620 zone. Longer-term trend work is still under pressure while recession odds creep higher, so we’re respecting both the tape’s strength and the macro’s fragility.
This is, unequivocally, a stock-picker’s market. Risk management should be front and center as volatility can rise quickly from low levels, and higher-for-longer rates plus a weakening labor backdrop raise the probability of air pockets. The good news: staying engaged—rather than all-in or all-out—lets you compound discipline. Our process leans on expert context, tools designed for position sizing and exit discipline, and models that vet trade ideas against macro and micro conditions. That’s how you keep participating in leadership while protecting capital if the narrative turns.
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Sector Spotlight
We’ve watched a handful of leaders keep the tape aloft while most stocks churn, and this week’s action only sharpened that divide. With the VIX still parked near 15 and the index complex pressing record territory, the market is paying a premium for two things: visible earnings power and tight linkage to the easing-cycle narrative. That combination tends to concentrate capital where unit economics are improving right now, not just eventually. Add in a Fed that just framed its cut as “risk management,” a CPI/PPI mix that quieted inflation anxiety, and a labor backdrop that argues for incremental accommodation—not emergency moves—and you get a backdrop where cash seeks assets with self-funding growth and operating leverage.
All week, micro catalysts reinforced that preference. Guidance from AI bellwethers continues to frame data-center spend as a multi-year—not multi-quarter—cycle. Breadth stayed narrow, but leadership didn’t blink on tariff chatter, rate whipsaws, or mixed single-name earnings elsewhere. In other words, when the macro turned noisy, the market hid in the clearest earnings visibility it could find.
That leads us straight to the engine room of the current expansion. The core of AI infrastructure isn’t just accelerators; it’s the memory, interconnect, and logic that transform capex into throughput. Unit demand is compounding, pricing power has inflected off the lows of the last downcycle, and incremental margins are expanding as fabs run hotter. This week’s NVDA countdown only heightens the focus: if guidance confirms another leg of server and HBM demand, the upstream beneficiaries typically repriced first. The space has also shown resilience to tariff headlines compared to broader cyclicals, underscoring how global supply chains are adapting around strategically critical components.
Only now do we name it: semiconductors. For broad exposure, SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) remains the cleanest expression. SMH captures the full stack—design, foundry, equipment, and memory—so you benefit whether the near-term upside comes from sustained accelerator orders, continued DRAM/NAND pricing strength, or a fresh capex pulse from hyperscalers. Technically, SMH is retesting highs with constructive pullbacks and rising 200-day participation, a profile consistent with leadership during easing cycles. In a market that’s rewarding dependable earnings revisions and operating leverage, semis check both boxes.
Trade of the Week: Micron Technology (MU)
Within that theme, Micron Technology (MU) stands out as a high-conviction add. The same forces shaping this week’s tape—AI infrastructure momentum into NVDA’s print, low headline volatility, and a Fed that’s easing without re-igniting inflation—are wind at MU’s back because they translate directly into bit demand, price discipline, and margin expansion.
From a cycle standpoint, MU is levered to the parts of memory with the steepest slope right now. AI servers are voracious consumers of high-bandwidth memory and high-capacity DRAM; each new accelerator rack pulls materially more memory per node than prior generations. As orders cascade through the supply chain, DRAM pricing has already turned up from last year’s trough, and NAND has stabilized—classic signals that gross margin recapture is underway. When pricing improves in a constrained supply environment, Micron’s incremental margins expand quickly; that’s the operating leverage the market is paying for in a narrow-breadth rally.
This week’s setup adds timely catalysts. NVDA’s guidance can validate the next leg of AI server builds, which historically pulls forward memory orders. Macro supports the multiple: the VIX near 15 and a 10-year yield oscillating inside its recent range keep the cost of capital contained, helping growth-sensitive cyclicals like MU. Meanwhile, tariff chatter did little to dent AI-centric flows, and breadth remained thin—conditions that typically favor core suppliers to the leading theme rather than second-tier cyclicals.
Technically, MU has behaved like a leader on dips—higher lows into the NVDA event, tight consolidations rather than disorderly selloffs, and quick recoveries when rates back up. That price action, coupled with improving fundamentals, creates an attractive asymmetry: rising earnings power into supportive liquidity with identifiable near-term validation points.
Why I’m adding MU to the portfolio: it is a direct, high-beta conduit to AI infrastructure demand with tangible unit and pricing tailwinds, operating leverage that accelerates as bit growth and pricing compound, and a catalyst path aligned with this week’s leadership dynamics. In a market I continue to view as sideways near term—with SPY support in the 600–620 zone and potential upside to 670–680—MU offers targeted participation in the dominant earnings engine while fitting a disciplined, risk-managed playbook. As always, I’ll size the position so a single headline can’t knock us out of the section, define risk around recent swing lows, and let the tape confirm the thesis as the data (and guidance) arrive.
This week, I’ll add Micron Technology (MU) to my portfolio!
And one more thing! Our track record speaks for itself from the standpoint of a Winning Trades Percentage, Average Return Per Trade, and Net Gain. Just take a look:
The consistent performance of our services is just incredible. My historical stellar performance is made possible by being right on 82.90% of all trades that I made, with an average profit of 38.53% per trade on our collective trade recommendations. To my knowledge, this trading performance is one-of-a-kind and stands alone in the marketplace for superior trading advice, where our numbers and results speak for themselves.
As we move into the thick of Q3, now is the perfect time to reassess your trading strategy and take your portfolio to the next level. Visit our website at www.yellowtunnel.com to explore our range of services and select one as your default trading system. With the power of our AI-driven platform, YellowTunnel is designed to help you navigate the complexities of the market, refine your strategy, and drive profitability in 2025.
Whether you’re focused on real-time trade opportunities, advanced analysis, or developing a disciplined trading mindset, we’ve got the tools and insights to guide you. As the year unfolds, let's work together to make 2025 the most profitable year for your portfolio. But remember—successful investing starts with informed decisions. Always conduct thorough research and assess your risk tolerance before executing any trades.
Let’s make this year a transformative one for your financial growth!
One more thing, I've had the opportunity to take additional action with a great organization supporting families in Ukraine directly. Gate.org is a foundation where fundraising is held for specific families, allocating funds to multiple families currently living in Ukraine. I am on the board of directors for this great initiative and encourage everyone to check it out and donate if possible. The war in Ukraine is escalating and families are being negatively impacted and displaced daily. To learn more about this initiative to help families, please see the link below:
Wishing you a week filled with resilience, growth, and prosperous opportunities!