Investment Opportunity: Buy the Dip: Amazon ($AMZN) Stock
Our Unforgettable Family Vacation in Sicily
This week, my family and I embarked on a week-long adventure to Sicily, the sun-soaked island at the tip of Italy’s boot. It was a trip filled with breathtaking landscapes, rich history, mouthwatering food, and moments of pure joy that brought us closer together. Here’s a glimpse into our unforgettable journey through Sicily’s vibrant culture and stunning scenery.
Day 1: Arriving in Palermo
We landed in Palermo, the bustling capital, where the warm Mediterranean air greeted us. After checking into a charming Airbnb in the historic center, we hit the streets to explore. The kids were wide-eyed at the vibrant Ballarò market, where vendors shouted over piles of colorful produce, fresh seafood, and glistening olives. We grabbed our first taste of Sicilian street food—arancini (those golden, cheesy rice balls) and panelle (chickpea fritters). Dinner was at a family-run trattoria, where we devoured pasta alla Norma with its rich eggplant and tomato sauce, paired with a glass of local Nero d’Avola wine for the adults. The kids declared the gelato afterward the “best ever.”
Day 2-3: Taormina and Mount Etna
Next, we drove to Taormina, a hilltop town with jaw-dropping views of the Ionian Sea. The ancient Greek Theater was a highlight—its stone seats overlooking Mount Etna felt like a step back in time. The kids loved scrambling around the ruins, imagining gladiator battles (their version of history!). We spent an afternoon at Isola Bella, a pebble beach where the crystal-clear water was perfect for snorkeling and splashing around.
Our Mount Etna excursion was the real showstopper. We joined a guided tour to explore the volcano’s lower slopes, marveling at the black lava fields and steaming craters. The guide shared stories of Etna’s eruptions, which fascinated the kids (and slightly terrified me!). We ended the day with a picnic of local cheeses, salami, and pistachio pastries from Bronte, a nearby town famous for its nuts.
Day 4-5: Syracuse and Ortigia
Syracuse stole our hearts, especially the island of Ortigia, its historic core. Wandering the narrow cobblestone streets felt like walking through a postcard, with Baroque buildings glowing in the golden light. The kids were obsessed with the Fountain of Arethusa, a freshwater spring where they tossed coins and made wishes. We visited the Archaeological Park, where the massive Greek Theater and the Ear of Dionysius cave left us in awe. The cave’s acoustics had us all giggling as we tested its echo with silly shouts.
Meals in Ortigia were a highlight. One night, we savored fresh swordfish and caponata at a seaside restaurant, watching the sunset paint the sky pink. The kids, usually picky eaters, couldn’t get enough of the sweet-and-sour flavors. We also took a boat tour around Ortigia, which offered stunning views and a chance to spot fish darting beneath the waves.
Day 6: Agrigento and the Valley of the Temples
No trip to Sicily is complete without the Valley of the Temples in Agrigento. The sprawling archaeological site, with its well-preserved Doric temples, was like stepping into ancient Greece. The Temple of Concordia, glowing golden at dusk, was a family favorite. We hired a guide who brought the history to life, explaining how these temples stood for over 2,500 years. The kids loved the freedom to roam the almond groves nearby, while my spouse and I soaked in the surreal beauty.
That evening, we stayed at a nearby agriturismo, a family-run farmstay. Dinner was a feast of homemade pasta, roasted lamb, and wine produced on-site. The hosts treated us like family, and the kids bonded with their children over a game of soccer in the courtyard.
Day 7: Relaxing in Cefalù
For our final day, we headed to Cefalù, a picturesque coastal town. Its sandy beach was perfect for a relaxed day of swimming and building sandcastles. The Norman Cathedral, with its stunning mosaics, was a quick but memorable stop. We spent our last evening strolling the promenade, indulging in one final round of gelato (pistachio and lemon were the winners). As we watched the sun set over the Tyrrhenian Sea, we reflected on the week—full of laughter, discovery, and moments we’d cherish forever.
Why Sicily Stole Our Hearts
Sicily was the perfect blend of adventure and relaxation for our family. The island’s mix of history, nature, and food kept everyone engaged, from the kids to the adults. The locals’ warmth made us feel at home, and the diverse experiences—from volcanoes to ancient ruins to beach days—gave us stories we’ll share for years. We’re already planning our return, maybe to explore the Aeolian Islands next time!
If you’re considering a family vacation, Sicily is a must. Pack comfortable shoes, an appetite for incredible food, and a sense of wonder—you won’t be disappointed.
Review of Recent Trade
Last week, our DPT Services model identified E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES), listed on CME Group, as a long opportunity during Tuesday’s Live Trading Room session (Tuesday, Oct 7, 2025). The setup paired a clean momentum turn with favorable risk/reward, and timely execution made the difference—entries were taken on confirmation rather than after the move was priced in.
Price action validated the alert as ES pushed from our entry zone, letting us scale risk appropriately and manage the position with predefined targets and stops. Even as intraday volatility picked up, sticking to the playbook—enter on confirmation, trim into strength, honor risk levels—kept the trade on track and preserved gains.
This is also where the advantage of our paid service comes in: subscribers receive real-time SMS alerts with precise entry and exit guidance, so opportunities like ES aren’t missed and exits aren’t guesswork. Free content teaches the framework; paid access delivers the timing.
Revisit the trade and our step-by-step walkthrough in last Tuesday’s recording here:
Live Trading Room Recordings
Current Trading Landscape
The market tried something unusual this week: it flirted with fresh highs while flying partially blind. With the federal funding lapse freezing marquee releases like payrolls, CPI, and retail sales, investors were left to stitch together a macro picture from earnings calls, private surveys, and a steady stream of Fed commentary. That patchwork was just good enough to keep the uptrend intact. The VIX hovered near 17, a level that signals respect for headline risk without true fear, and the major indices repeatedly retested their peaks rather than breaking down. Rates helped preserve that equilibrium—two-year yields hovered near 3.6% while the ten-year moved inside a contained 4.0%–4.2% band—while a softer dollar and gold near record territory provided insurance against policy shocks. In short: momentum didn’t accelerate, but it didn’t fracture either.
At the big-picture level, three forces defined the week. First, the data vacuum turned every microphone and earnings transcript into a macro proxy. With the official playbook on pause, the market traded on inference, and tone mattered as much as numbers. Second, the AI-capex flywheel reasserted itself. AMD’s multi-year partnership with OpenAI put real wattage behind the infrastructure build-out story and reignited leadership in semis and compute. That, in turn, set the stage for Nvidia’s upcoming report to serve as a sentiment referendum on whether AI demand can keep compounding into year-end. Third, tariffs and industrial policy moved back to the center of the narrative. Fresh tariff threats toward China and a White House stake in Trilogy Metals underlined that policy remains an active driver of costs, supply chains, and single-stock dispersion—even as the index-level tape remains most sensitive to rates and earnings.
From there, the week unfolded with a clear rhythm. We opened on a high note as the AMD-OpenAI announcement catalyzed a pop in tech and nudged the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to new marks. That enthusiasm met a reality check on Tuesday as the shutdown dragged on, the absence of government data clipped confidence, and price action settled into a sideways digestion rather than a downdraft. Fed speakers supplied the market with just enough dovish ballast—acknowledging cooling growth and tariff-linked upside risks to inflation without introducing hawkish surprise—so the ten-year stayed caged and risk appetite never cracked. By midweek the tape was balanced: steady where earnings confirmed resilience, choppy where policy headlines intruded.
Earnings, thin as they were, carried more weight than usual. Delta Air Lines (DAL) set the tone with a clean beat and a raised outlook, emphasizing premium-cabin strength, resilient corporate demand, and capacity discipline—the exact levers that restore operating leverage if fuel behaves. That message, paired with softer crude on tentative cease-fire progress, quietly improved the setup for fuel-sensitive groups. Consumer staples did their job as PepsiCo’s steady execution and cost discipline offered ballast while investors waited on more data. Meanwhile, private sentiment gauges ticked down modestly, near-term inflation expectations eased a notch, and jobless-claims estimates edged higher—none decisive in isolation, but together consistent with a “slowing, not stalling” backdrop that supports the Fed’s cautious glide path for additional 2025 cuts.
Single-name and sector headlines added texture without rewriting the macro. Regional-bank consolidation resurfaced with a proposed all-stock tie-up in the mid-cap space, producing the familiar M&A spread dynamics—target up, acquirer softer. Boeing guided toward modestly higher 737 MAX output, giving industrials a nudge. Verizon’s CEO transition created a short-lived wobble in a slow-growth defensive. And the White House’s strategic stake in Trilogy Metals, paired with progress on the Ambler mining corridor, underscored that industrial policy is not merely rhetorical; it is actively steering capital toward on-shoring critical minerals in a tariff-intensified world. The tariff drumbeat itself grew louder into week’s end as new escalation talk toward China punctured risk for a session and reminded traders that goods-price reacceleration remains the spoiler to any smooth disinflation.
By Friday, the through-line was clear. This is a market that wants to go up as long as yields stay orderly, AI capex continues to compound, and early earnings confirm that activity is normalizing rather than collapsing. The rally’s character—higher highs with frequent pauses—fits the moment: enthusiasm at the index level, patience within sectors, and a premium on companies that can credibly guide through a noisy macro tape. With the shutdown delaying official prints, each corporate update effectively substitutes for a data point, which is why the coming Nvidia report matters not just for one ticker but for the broader confidence in the AI investment cycle.
My stance hasn’t changed. I remain constructive with the working roadmap of SPY advancing toward the 680–700 zone on the next push if earnings hold serve and leadership stays with AI-adjacent winners. I continue to anchor near-term support in the 620–640 band for any macro wobble. Two developments would force a faster de-risk: a rates shock—specifically the ten-year snapping decisively above its recent range—or a post-shutdown data catch-up that shows a clear inflection higher in unemployment. Barring those, the path of least resistance remains higher. Tactically, I want core exposure to the AI horsepower trade into Nvidia’s print, a bias to scale into airlines like Delta on fuel-driven dips given improving mix and discipline, and selective hedges while the VIX sits near 17 so tariff surprises don’t knock me off longer-term positioning. In a week where the market had to trade on tone as much as tape, the tone stayed just constructive enough—and until the data say otherwise, patient buys on quality weakness continue to be rewarded.
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Sector Spotlight
There’s a corner of the tape that thrives when yields stay orderly, volatility refuses to ignite, and leadership is earned by companies building the infrastructure everyone else now needs. That was the quiet theme of the week: with the government data spigot turned off, the market listened to earnings calls and followed the money—specifically, the capital spending that underwrites the next leg of productivity. As the VIX hovered near 17 and the 10-year held inside its 4.0%–4.2% range, the bid gravitated toward businesses whose cash flows stretch far into the future but are anchored by near-term demand that’s visible on conference calls, not just in missing spreadsheets.
Two developments reinforced this preference. First, the AI build-out reaccelerated in real time. AMD’s multi-year partnership news with OpenAI didn’t just boost one ticker; it reminded investors that hyperscalers and large enterprises are still in the early innings of deploying compute, networking, and software around generative models. Second, a softer dollar quietly improved global translation for the very firms selling those tools abroad, even as tariffs and policy headlines injected noise elsewhere. Put differently, the market rewarded platforms that monetize innovation through multiple channels—compute, cloud, and software stacks—while shrugging off the data blackout because the end-customers themselves described strong pipelines.
This is why the leadership baton kept drifting back to the sector that has been carrying the market all year. After a Monday pop, price action cooled into a sideways grind as shutdown uncertainty lingered, but the tone never broke: early earnings were good enough, oil drifted lower to relieve inflation anxiety, and Fed speakers stayed cautiously dovish. In that environment, the most efficient way to express the theme remains Invesco QQQ (QQQ).
QQQ concentrates exposure in the mega-cap platforms best positioned to capture AI-driven capex, software margin expansion, and secular ad and cloud growth. As we head toward the next major print from a key AI bellwether, QQQ offers a liquid, diversified vehicle that benefits if the “orderly yields + compounding AI spend” regime persists. My playbook is to build exposure on market softness rather than chase strength—scaling in on shallow pullbacks while volatility remains contained—and to pair entries with modest protection so tariff shocks or a surprise rates breakout don’t knock the thesis off course.
Only now do we name the obvious: the technology complex remains the market’s center of gravity, and QQQ is the cleanest way to stay aligned with that momentum without stock-picking whiplash.
Trade of the Week: AMZN
Amazon sits precisely where this week’s currents converge. The consumption backdrop is “slowing, not stalling,” holiday forecasts still point to moderate growth, and oil eased as cease-fire headlines trimmed the geopolitical premium—constructive for logistics costs into peak season. At the same time, the AI narrative that lifted the entire complex this week directly benefits Amazon’s highest-margin engine: AWS. When investors re-rated chipmakers and compute suppliers on fresh proof of multi-year demand, they implicitly endorsed the cloud platforms that will provision, orchestrate, and monetize those models at scale. Add a softer dollar that helps international retail and cloud translation, and Amazon’s three-cylinder flywheel—Retail, AWS, and Advertising—looks primed to spin faster.
From a trading perspective, the setup is straightforward. With indices retesting highs and the VIX anchored near 17, the market is paying up for durable growth but still affords disciplined entries on intraday dips. Amazon’s catalysts line up with this week’s tape: logistics tailwinds from lower fuel, resilient consumer spend heading into the holidays even without official data, accelerating enterprise interest in GenAI services atop AWS, and continued share gains in performance advertising as brands seek measurable ROI in a choppy macro.
The risk controls are equally clear. If the 10-year snaps decisively above its recent range or if post-shutdown data show a sharper labor deterioration, growth multiples will wobble; if tariff escalation bites harder into general merchandise import costs, retail margins could compress at the edges. I’m comfortable adding AMZN here with a plan to scale on weakness rather than strength, keeping a modest hedge while headline risk lingers. In a week where the market told you to back platforms that monetize both consumer demand and the AI build-out, Amazon checked every box—which is why it’s the symbol I’m adding to the portfolio now.
This week, I’ll add Amazon ($AMZN) to my portfolio!
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One more thing, I've had the opportunity to take additional action with a great organization supporting families in Ukraine directly. Gate.org is a foundation where fundraising is held for specific families, allocating funds to multiple families currently living in Ukraine. I am on the board of directors for this great initiative and encourage everyone to check it out and donate if possible. The war in Ukraine is escalating and families are being negatively impacted and displaced daily. To learn more about this initiative to help families, please see the link below:
Wishing you a week filled with resilience, growth, and prosperous opportunities!