New HIV Treatment Success for Gilead: $GILD on the Move!

Thanksgiving feels right when it is shared around a table of family and friends, and this year our backyard turned into a smoky little celebration. I spent the day parked beside the Green Egg, slow cooking a turkey while rosemary and citrus worked their way into every corner of the bird. On the other side of the grill, my cousin guarded a brisket that started the morning as a solid slab and, hour by hour, turned into something that barely held together when you lifted it with a fork.

As the day went on, the yard filled up. Neighbors and relatives came through the gate carrying their own traditions in casserole dishes and salad bowls: sweet potato, cranberry, bright greens, a couple of mystery recipes that turned out to be crowd favorites. The picnic table looked like a collage. No single item defined the meal. The whole point was the mix of flavors and the mix of people.

By the time the sun dropped and the air cooled, we were around the fire pit with plates in our laps and glasses in hand. We toasted simple things that are easy to forget in a busy year: that we live in a place where we can gather this way, that friends will drive a few hours just to sit by the fire, that family remains an anchor when everything else feels like it is in motion. The turkey’s golden skin and the brisket’s smoky aroma were not really about food at that point. They were proof that time, patience and shared effort still matter.

Standing over that grill, it struck me how different that rhythm feels from the market we have just lived through. This past week was the opposite of slow and steady. Tech and AI leaders stumbled, and what had recently felt like a sure thing suddenly looked fragile. Big names like Nvidia, Microsoft and Amazon slipped, the Nasdaq lost ground and volatility perked up. You could feel the tone shift from confidence to anxiety in just a few sessions.

Nvidia then reported strong results and talked up the long term AI story, but the stock still failed to hold its early gains. The market liked the numbers at first, then quickly went back to worrying about how much is being spent and how high prices have already climbed. The same push and pull ran through the whole AI theme. Soon after, a softer tone from the Fed and a strong move in Alphabet flipped the mood again, and buyers rushed back into many of the same stocks they had just sold.

Psychologically, this is a clear snapshot of recency bias and herd behavior. A handful of rough days in AI and the story turns from “this cannot miss” to “this might be a bubble.” One set of calming comments from the Fed and a big up day in a tech giant, and the fear fades almost as quickly as it arrived. The businesses did not change that fast. Sentiment did.

At Thanksgiving, we do not let one dish decide whether the day was a success. If the cranberry sauce is a little too tart or the stuffing is slightly dry, no one calls the holiday a disaster. We judge it by the whole table and the people around it. In markets, though, one choppy week in AI, one awkward reaction to Nvidia or one sharp move in Bitcoin is often enough to make investors feel like they should rewrite their entire plan.

The healthier mindset is the Thanksgiving mindset. A portfolio should look more like that backyard table than a single oversized entrée. AI can be important. So can tech more broadly. But cyclicals, defensives, income names, and even some dry powder all have a place, especially in weeks like this one. Long-term themes take time to cook. The fact that profits and spending are not perfectly aligned in a single quarter does not automatically invalidate the next decade.

The takeaway is simple. Do not let a volatile week convince you that the whole feast is spoiled. Use the noise to check your own behavior. Are you reacting to headlines, or responding to a plan? Are you letting one position dictate how you feel about your entire financial picture? Suppose you build a portfolio the way you build a Thanksgiving table, with balance, patience and a focus on who and what really matters. In that case, you give yourself room to handle a few imperfect dishes without losing your appetite for the long term.

Recent Trade Review

One of the clearest examples of how our process works came from a recent trade in Albemarle Corporation, ticker ALB. During last Tuesday’s Live Trading Room session, our DPT model flagged ALB as a long opportunity, based on the combination of oversold conditions, improving momentum and supportive institutional flow. We walked through the setup in real time, outlined the risk level, and planned to lean into a rebound off support rather than chase strength after the fact.

From there, the DPT service did what it is designed to do. Paid members received precise SMS alerts telling them when to get in and when to get out, so the idea from the room turned into a structured trade with clear entry, exit and risk points. Whether the move ends up being large or modest, that timely guidance is what helps turn a good chart into an actual, executable decision instead of just an interesting idea.

That is the major difference between the free content and the paid DPT service. Free members can watch the market outlook, see example setups and learn the logic. DPT members get the same analysis plus real time SMS instructions that help them act, not just observe. If you would like to see exactly how we handled ALB, you can watch the recording of last Tuesday’s Live Trading Room.

Current Trading Landscape

The current trading landscape is a study in contrasts. On the surface, it was a strong Thanksgiving week. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all finished Friday’s shortened session in the green, and both the Dow and S&P managed to claw their way back to small gains for November after being sharply lower just days ago. The S&P kept its winning streak alive by the slimmest of margins. The Nasdaq finished the month down, but even there the tone improved into the holiday.

The path to that finish was anything but smooth. Early in the month, the air came out of the AI trade. The so called Magnificent Seven sank more than 6 percent for November at one point, and names like Nvidia, Microsoft and Amazon gave back a meaningful chunk of their year to date gains. Nvidia’s earnings beat did not change that narrative right away. The company once again delivered strong numbers and talked confidently about the long runway for AI, yet the stock struggled to hold its initial gains as investors focused on heavy spending and already rich expectations. The message from price action was simple. The market still believes in AI, but it is no longer willing to give every AI story a free pass.

Macro headlines pulled in the other direction. Inflation data continued to drift in the right direction, and comments from key Fed officials pushed the market to price in an eighty plus percent chance of a rate cut in December. That shift in expectations helped power the Thanksgiving week rebound. Volatility cooled, with the VIX sliding toward 18, and major indices climbed back above their 50 day moving averages. At the same time, the ten year Treasury yield stayed restless inside a band between 3.6 and 4.2 percent, which tells us that the bond market has not fully bought into a clean, gentle path lower for rates.

Tariff headlines and broader macro data added another layer of complexity. On one side, talk of new or extended tariffs kept a floor under geopolitical and supply chain risk. On the other, steady consumer data and improving sentiment after the government shutdown pointed to an economy that is slowing but not breaking. That kind of backdrop tends to produce sector rotation rather than a simple risk on or risk off story.

Earnings outside the core AI cluster told the same tale of nuance. Alibaba’s results and AI app push reminded investors that the AI race is global and politically complicated, especially for China related names that sit in the crossfire of trade and technology policy. Dell’s earnings highlighted how AI is reshaping traditional hardware and server demand, but also how tied that demand is to corporate spending cycles. These are not meme stocks. They are real businesses, yet the way the market trades them still swings with each headline.

Even the brief CME outage this week was a useful reminder. When a data center issue paused trading in futures and some fixed income platforms, it did not cause a crisis, but it did underline how dependent modern markets are on smooth plumbing. Liquidity and access are usually invisible until they are not.

So what does all of this mean if you are trading or investing here and now?

First, I remain in the market neutral camp. Momentum has improved off the November lows, but it has also deteriorated compared with the easy advance earlier this year. A reasonable base case is that SPY spends the next few months moving in a range, with support in the 620 to 640 zone and room on the upside toward 680 to 700. The long term trend is still intact. The risk is that interest rates stay higher for longer just as unemployment begins to tick up. That combination can weigh on valuations, especially in parts of the market that have been priced for perfection.

Second, this is a tape where psychology will drive a lot of the near term action. There is a clear tug of war between fear of missing out on the next leg of the AI story and fear of being the last buyer at the top. Strong weeks like Thanksgiving can pull investors back toward greed as they watch indices grind higher and hear about an expected rate cut next month. The earlier AI pullback and the stubborn range in yields keep a layer of caution in the background. The result is a market that can flip quickly from relief to anxiety and back again.

In practical terms, this argues for a very selective approach. Broad exposure can still work while the long term trend holds, but the real edge is likely to come from knowing what you own and why. High quality companies with real cash flow, healthy balance sheets and pricing power are more attractive to me than pure stories that depend entirely on the kindness of the next headline. It also makes sense to plan your risk in advance. Think in terms of ranges, not straight lines. If SPY pushes toward the top of the band, be willing to trim and rebalance. If it revisits the lower end, look for opportunities to add in names and sectors you believe can weather a slower, bumpier economy.

The takeaway is this. We just watched a market that was down hard for the month fight its way back to flat in a handful of sessions, all without any dramatic change in the world. Earnings were mixed, AI is still real but no longer invincible, the Fed is leaning a bit softer but not promising a rescue, and macro data is decent rather than spectacular. Prices moved mostly because sentiment moved. If you recognize that, you can stop chasing every short term swing and start using those swings to your advantage. Stay neutral at the index level, stay selective underneath, and let the range work for you rather than against you.

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Sector Spotlight

If you look past the AI fireworks and the constant debate about rate cuts, there is a part of the market that has been quietly doing exactly what investors say they want right now. It is not promising to double overnight. It is not the star of financial TV. But it is built on steady demand, recurring revenue, and business models that do not live or die on the next Fed headline.

In a tape where momentum has deteriorated and the risk of higher for longer rates sits in the back of everyone’s mind, behavior starts to shift. Money that was happily chasing the hottest growth stories a few months ago is now more interested in durability. You can feel the psychology moving from pure fear of missing out toward a blend of caution and selectivity. Traders who were leaning heavily into AI and high beta tech are quietly rotating into names that allow them to stay invested without feeling like they are standing on the edge of a cliff.

That is where this sector comes in. Its revenues are tied less to the economic cycle and more to demographics, long term medical trends, and treatments that people need in good times and bad. It tends to hold up better during drawdowns, yet still participates when markets grind higher. In other words, it gives investors something very attractive in a choppy, headline driven environment: the chance to stay in the game without betting the farm on the most speculative corners of the market.

The Health Care Select Sector SPDR, XLV, captures this dynamic. As investors process AI volatility, tariff noise, and higher rate risk, healthcare has begun to look like a rational middle ground. XLV offers broad exposure to companies that treat chronic conditions, develop new therapies, and provide services that do not disappear just because sentiment dips for a few weeks. It is gaining traction now because it lines up with where psychology is drifting. When traders feel tired of drama but are not ready to head to cash, they often reach for healthcare. XLV is the clearest way to express that quiet, defensive rotation.

Trade of the Week: GILD

Inside that sector, Gilead Sciences, GILD, is the name I want to own here. It takes the themes we see in the broader tape and turns them into a focused, actionable idea.

Gilead is not a story stock that lives on hope alone. It is a large, established biopharma company with meaningful franchises in antiviral treatments and a growing footprint in oncology. That mix matters in this environment. As the market swings between AI euphoria and macro worries, investors are rewarding companies that already generate real cash flow and can fund their own research, buybacks, and dividends without depending on generous capital markets. Gilead fits that profile.

From a trading standpoint, the behavior has been telling. While high growth names have whipped around on every data point and Fed comment, GILD has started to carve out a more constructive pattern. Pullbacks have been shallower, and buyers have been willing to step in on dips rather than wait for a perfect headline. That is often the first sign that institutional money is building positions quietly rather than trading in and out with the crowd.

The setup also lines up with the broader market view. If SPY is likely to trade in a range over the next few months, with upside capped and downside supported by expectations of eventual rate cuts, then individual names that can grind higher on their own merits become especially valuable. GILD gives you exposure to the healthcare rotation through XLV, but with its own company specific catalysts and a shareholder friendly capital allocation profile layered on top.

Most importantly, this trade respects the psychology of the moment. Instead of trying to outguess every AI headline or every twist in the inflation narrative, it leans into a business where demand is durable, and progress is measured in years, not days. XLV reflects a market that is seeking stability. GILD is a way to participate in that shift with conviction. The takeaway is simple: in a tired, range-bound market, you do not need louder stories. You need steadier ones.

This week, I’ll add Gilead Sciences (GILD) to my portfolio!

And one more thing! Our track record speaks for itself from the standpoint of a Winning Trades Percentage, Average Return Per Trade, and Net Gain. Just take a look:

The consistent performance of our services is just incredible. My historical stellar performance is made possible by being right on 82.65% of all trades that I made, with an average profit of 39.43% per trade on our collective trade recommendations. To my knowledge, this trading performance is one-of-a-kind and stands alone in the marketplace for superior trading advice, where our numbers and results speak for themselves.

As we move into the end of 2025, now is the perfect time to reassess your trading strategy and take your portfolio to the next level for the upcoming year! Visit our website at www.yellowtunnel.com to explore our range of services and select one as your default trading system. With the power of our AI-driven platform, YellowTunnel is designed to help you navigate the complexities of the market, refine your strategy, and drive profitability in 2025.

Whether you’re focused on real-time trade opportunities, advanced analysis, or developing a disciplined trading mindset, we’ve got the tools and insights to guide you. As the year unfolds, let's work together to make 2025 the most profitable year for your portfolio. But remember—successful investing starts with informed decisions. Always conduct thorough research and assess your risk tolerance before executing any trades.

Let’s make this year a transformative one for your financial growth!

One more thing, I've had the opportunity to take additional action with a great organization supporting families in Ukraine directly. Gate.org is a foundation where fundraising is held for specific families, allocating funds to multiple families currently living in Ukraine. I am on the board of directors for this great initiative and encourage everyone to check it out and donate if possible. The war in Ukraine is escalating, and families are being negatively impacted and displaced daily. To learn more about this initiative to help families, please see the link below:

 www.gate.org

Wishing you a week filled with resilience, growth, and prosperous opportunities!