📈 Market Breakout + Energy Spike + Strong Earnings = AI's Top Trade
Blackberry Farm Is Just Summer Camp For Adults
We just got back from Blackberry Farm and I can’t stop laughing at the realization I had on day two.
I just spent a month bragging about David’s camp. Basketball, archery, fishing, cold plunges at 7 a.m., earning points for Mawanda and Sachem. And then my wife and I check into Blackberry Farm for our 25th anniversary weekend and I look around and think, this is the exact same thing. Just for adults. With better food.
A few months ago, on the flight home I read a Wall Street Journal article that said summer camp for adults is officially a thing. It's a growing market—sleepaway camps with bunk beds and campfires, but with bartenders instead of counselors. When I was growing up I never heard of this concept. Camp was for kids. Adults worked. Now that I experienced it, it is definitely a thing. And it makes perfect sense.
It really is summer camp for grown-ups. No cabins with squeaky bunk beds, but the spirit is identical.
Our days had a schedule posted on a board, just like Kawaga. Only instead of cabin cleanup and flag raising, it said: 7:30 yoga on the mountain deck, 9:00 off-road biking through the trails, 11:00 hike to the overlook, 3:00 pickleball, 4:30 fishing in the creek. I looked at it the first morning and told my wife, "This is David's day, just with coffee that costs more than a gallon of gas."
And I loved every minute of it.
Off-road biking was first. Not the paved greenway stuff we do at home, but real trails through the woods, mud splattering, me trying not to fall in front of a group of very fit people from Nashville. Hiking after that—quiet, pine covered, the Smokies rolling out below us. No phones. No tickers. Just breathing.
Fishing was my favorite. Small creek, clear water, trout that are way smarter than me. I stood in waders for an hour, casting, missing, casting again. It was the same focus I had with David on the pontoon in Eagle River, just slower. You can't rush a fish and you can't rush a trade. Same lesson.
Pickleball in the afternoon. My wife and I against another couple who said they were "beginners." They were not beginners. We lost, we laughed, we booked another court for the next day to get revenge. Then yoga. I am still not a yoga guy, but when you are stretched out after biking and pickleball and the instructor says "let it go," you actually do.
And the food. I know people throw around the phrase Michelin-star, but honestly, dinner at The Barn felt like that. Garden vegetables that were picked that morning, trout that could have been from the same creek I was fishing in, everything plated like art but still hearty. We sat for two hours each night and didn't look at our phones once.
Between meals it was sauna and pool. Hot, cold, hot again. That adult version of the lake plunge David loves at camp. I floated in that pool looking at the mountains and had one clear thought: I do not want to leave.
That's the camp feeling, right? The first day you are a little out of place. By day two you have a routine, you know the counselors, you have favorite spots. By day three you start calculating how you can stay longer. The Wall Street Journal was right—adults are craving exactly what kids get at camp: structure, nature, and real connection without the daily grind.
If you have an anniversary coming up and you want something special for your loved one, I can't recommend it enough. It's not just a fancy hotel. It's a reset. My favorite activities were all there—biking, hiking, fishing, pickleball, yoga—plus a sauna and food that made me want to write down every bite.
I went to pick up David from summer camp and realized he had the right idea all along. Unplug, move your body, be outside, eat well, be with people you love.
Blackberry Farm just lets adults do the same thing. And I'm already counting down to when we can go back to camp.
Markets have a way of reinforcing that same lesson. The best investors aren't glued to every headline or every five-minute candle. They develop a process, trust it, and give it time to work. This week was another reminder that while headlines can change in an instant, discipline rarely goes out of style. Sometimes the most productive thing you can do—for yourself and your portfolio—is step away for a bit. More often than not, you'll come back with a clearer head and make better decisions.
Recent Trade Review
Last week in our Dynamic Profit Trader (DPT) service, we highlighted a long opportunity in Charles Schwab ($SCHW). The setup was identified by our DPT model and discussed in detail during last Thursday's Live Trading Room, where we walked through the technical setup, the reasoning behind the trade, and our game plan.
One of the biggest differences between our free content and our premium trading services is timing. Premium members don't just receive the trade idea—they receive timely SMS alerts telling them exactly when to enter, manage, and exit the position. In today's fast-moving markets, having that real-time guidance can make all the difference.
If you missed the live session or would like to review the trade, you can watch last Thursday's Live Trading Room recording here!
Current Trading Landscape
Despite another headline-filled week, the market's primary trend remains firmly intact. I remain in the MARKET BULLISH camp. As long as the economy continues to avoid a meaningful slowdown, I believe the SPY has the potential to rally toward the $760-$780 area over the coming months, while $700-$720 remains an important support zone. The biggest risk to this outlook continues to be the possibility that interest rates stay higher for longer if inflation proves more stubborn than expected. For now, however, volatility remains exceptionally subdued, with the VIX near 15, and all three major U.S. indices continue trading near record highs—a sign that investors remain willing to buy pullbacks despite ongoing macro uncertainty.
The week's biggest catalyst came from renewed optimism surrounding diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran. Reports of progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz helped ease fears of a prolonged disruption to global energy supplies, sending crude oil prices sharply lower early in the week. Falling oil prices, in turn, reduced inflation concerns and helped Treasury yields retreat, creating a favorable environment for equities. While geopolitical tensions have by no means disappeared, investors welcomed any signs of de-escalation after several weeks in which Middle East developments largely dictated market direction. Tariffs and global trade negotiations also remain part of the broader macro backdrop, but they took a back seat this week as lower energy prices became the dominant story.
Corporate earnings continued to provide another strong pillar of support. Nearly 86% of S&P 500 companies reporting second-quarter results have exceeded analyst earnings estimates, demonstrating that corporate America remains fundamentally healthy despite elevated interest rates. Amazon crossed the $3 trillion market capitalization milestone, while Palantir, Caterpillar, Disney, Eli Lilly, Uber, Booking Holdings, and Amgen all delivered encouraging reports that helped broaden market participation beyond just a handful of mega-cap technology names. That broadening of leadership is generally a healthy sign, suggesting this rally is becoming more diversified rather than relying exclusively on the largest AI companies.
At the same time, earnings season also reminded investors that expectations surrounding artificial intelligence remain extraordinarily high. AMD delivered another quarter of impressive revenue growth, particularly within its data center business, but investors focused instead on softer margin guidance and future profitability. SpaceX's first earnings report as a public company demonstrated tremendous revenue growth fueled by Starlink and AI infrastructure, but significantly higher-than-expected capital expenditures and an upcoming lock-up expiration weighed heavily on the stock. Similar "sell-the-news" reactions appeared across portions of the software and storage industries, reinforcing an important lesson for investors: in today's market, simply beating estimates often isn't enough when valuations already reflect near-perfect expectations.
Economic data throughout the week painted a picture of an economy that continues to cool gradually rather than contract. Manufacturing activity expanded more than expected, the services sector remained firmly in growth territory, and weekly jobless claims stayed historically low, signaling continued labor market resilience. Meanwhile, July payroll growth slowed to 88,000 jobs while wage growth moderated—exactly the type of "soft landing" data investors have been hoping to see. Labor demand continues to normalize without evidence of widespread layoffs, helping reinforce confidence that inflation can continue easing without pushing the economy into recession.
Interest rates remain one of the market's most closely watched variables. The 10-year Treasury yield continued to fluctuate within its recent 4.0% to 4.8% range, reflecting the ongoing tug-of-war between resilient economic growth and expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin easing policy later this year if inflation continues to moderate. Investors remain highly sensitive to changes in bond yields because they directly influence equity valuations, particularly for high-growth technology companies. For now, the recent decline in yields has provided an additional tailwind for stocks.
Looking ahead, next week's economic calendar could prove even more influential than this week's earnings releases. Wednesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will likely be the market's primary focus, followed by Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday, Retail Sales and Michigan Consumer Sentiment on Friday, along with weekly Jobless Claims. These reports will help determine whether inflation continues moving toward the Federal Reserve's long-term target and whether consumer spending remains resilient. On the corporate side, earnings from Walmart, Home Depot, Cisco, Applied Materials, Target, Alibaba, and Deere will provide valuable insight into consumer demand, enterprise technology spending, semiconductor investment, and the overall health of the global economy.
While markets rarely move in a straight line, the overall backdrop continues to favor disciplined optimism. Strong corporate earnings, moderating inflation pressures, improving geopolitical sentiment, and contained volatility continue to support higher equity prices. At the same time, investors should remain mindful that elevated valuations and higher interest rates leave little room for disappointment. Rather than chasing every headline or every breakout, this remains an environment where patience, disciplined risk management, and selective high-probability setups are likely to outperform emotional decision-making over the long run.
24 hours left — plus a story you should hear
Real quick — I want to share something a subscriber sent us recently.
It stopped me in my tracks.
His name is John. He's been with us for over 10 years. Here's what he said:
"I have been associated with Yellow Tunnel for over 10 years. There
are several so-called companies which make performance claims and sell
subscription services. Vlad Karpel is a fantastic teacher — he helps
all traders at various skill levels to better themselves. I strongly
recommend him and he truly invests alongside you. Please do yourself
the duty of embracing what he is offering. Thank you and God bless you
Vlad!!!!"
— John G., verified review, June 2025
I'm not sharing this to brag. I'm sharing it because John said something important:
"He truly invests alongside you."
Click here to learn more!
Sector Spotlight: Financials (XLF)
Financial stocks have quietly emerged as one of the strongest areas of the market over the past several weeks. While much of the attention remains focused on artificial intelligence and mega-cap technology, the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) continues to benefit from a combination of resilient economic growth, healthy credit conditions, and a more stable interest-rate environment.
Although the 10-year Treasury yield has remained volatile, trading between roughly 4.0% and 4.8%, rates remain high enough to support bank profitability while recent declines have eased concerns that borrowing costs would become overly restrictive. At the same time, labor market data continues to point toward a cooling—not collapsing—economy, helping reduce fears of a significant deterioration in consumer and commercial credit quality.
This week's strong earnings across many sectors also reinforce the view that businesses and consumers remain on solid financial footing. If inflation continues to moderate and the Federal Reserve eventually begins easing policy gradually rather than aggressively, financial companies could benefit from stronger capital markets activity, increased lending demand, and improving investor confidence.
Our AI models continue to favor high-quality financial companies with strong balance sheets, making XLF an attractive sector for investors looking to diversify beyond technology while still participating in the broader bull market.
Trade of the Week: Charles Schwab ($SCHW)
Our Trade of the Week is Charles Schwab ($SCHW), one of the premier financial services companies in the country and a stock that continues to align well with both the current macro environment and our AI forecasts.
Schwab stands to benefit from many of the same themes supporting the financial sector. Market indices continue trading near record highs, investor engagement remains elevated, and improving market sentiment typically translates into stronger trading activity, higher client asset balances, and increased demand for wealth management services. As volatility remains contained and confidence returns, brokerage firms often see meaningful improvements in both asset gathering and transaction activity.
From a technical perspective, SCHW has continued to display constructive price action while our A.I. model recently identified it as a high-probability long opportunity. The combination of improving market breadth, easing inflation concerns, resilient economic data, and stabilizing interest rates provides a favorable backdrop for the company going forward.
As always, no single trade is guaranteed to succeed, but SCHW offers an attractive combination of strong fundamentals, improving technical momentum, and favorable macroeconomic tailwinds. For traders and investors looking to gain exposure to the financial sector without chasing extended technology names, Charles Schwab remains one of our favorite opportunities heading into next week.
This week, I am adding Charles Schwab (SCHW) to my portfolio.
And one more thing! Our track record speaks for itself from the standpoint of a Winning Trades Percentage, Average Return Per Trade, and Net Gain. Just take a look:
The consistent performance of our services is just incredible. My historical stellar performance is made possible by being right on 82.24% of all trades that I made, with an average profit of 39.66% per trade on our collective trade recommendations. To my knowledge, this trading performance is one-of-a-kind and stands alone in the marketplace for superior trading advice, where our numbers and results speak for themselves.
For the rest of 2026, the market is entering a more selective and demanding phase. On the surface, major indexes remain resilient, but underneath, investors are navigating a more complicated environment shaped by geopolitical tensions, tariff uncertainty, uneven megacap earnings, sticky inflation expectations, and renewed pressure from interest rates. At the same time, labor market data is beginning to soften at the edges, creating a setup where discipline, timing, and data-driven decision-making are becoming more important than broad market optimism.
This is exactly where YellowTunnel becomes essential.
In a market where leadership is narrowing and volatility can return quickly, investors need more than headlines and guesswork. YellowTunnel’s AI-powered tools are designed to help you cut through the noise, identify high-probability setups, track changing market conditions, and stay aligned with the strongest pockets of opportunity. Whether you are looking for real-time trade ideas, advanced stock and options analysis, predictive market data, or a more disciplined trading process, YellowTunnel gives you the structure and clarity needed to act with confidence.
As conditions tighten heading into Q3, the difference between reacting emotionally and following a proven, data-backed approach can be significant. Our goal is to help you stay prepared, stay selective, and stay focused on the opportunities with the strongest risk-reward potential.
Whether you are focused on short-term trades, portfolio positioning, options strategies, or improving your overall trading mindset, YellowTunnel provides the tools, insights, and guidance to help you navigate this market with greater precision.
Let’s work together to make the rest of 2026 a stronger, smarter, and more disciplined period for your portfolio. As always, successful investing begins with informed decisions, proper risk management, and a clear understanding of your personal goals and risk tolerance before entering any trade.
One more thing, I've had the opportunity to take additional action with a great organization supporting families in Ukraine directly. Gate.org is a foundation where fundraising is held for specific families, allocating funds to multiple families currently living in Ukraine. I am on the board of directors for this great initiative and encourage everyone to check it out and donate if possible. The war in Ukraine is escalating, and families are being negatively impacted and displaced daily. To learn more about this initiative to help families, please see the link below:
Wishing you a week filled with resilience, growth, and prosperous opportunities!